Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Takashi Sato is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason Witt has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jason Witt threatens submissions; Takashi Sato has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Jason Witt has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takashi SatoL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 23 Jason WittL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Oct 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takashi SatoMetricJason Witt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.52Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Takashi SatoJason Witt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takashi Sato(7 fights)Jason Witt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.9|Blue -26.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Takashi SatoTargetJason Witt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Takashi Sato edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
