Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nik Lentz has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Michael McBride has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Michael McBride
oldest →L
vs Scott Holtzman · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricMichael McBride
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nik LentzMichael McBride
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Michael McBride(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.8|Blue -34.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nik LentzTargetMichael McBride
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns4
Control4:19
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control3:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
