Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub SwansonW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26 Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricJonathan Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cub SwansonJonathan Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +11.8|Blue -11.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cub SwansonTargetJonathan Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Jonathan Martinez rounds
Round 1Jonathan Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control0:20
Knockdowns0
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Jonathan Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:14Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
