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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mike Russow won · U-DEC R3
Elo1352
Mike Russow
Elo1351

Mike RussowvsJon Olav EinemoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · Saturday, January 28, 2012Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Mike Russow won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mike Russow wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Mike Russow wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Russow at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mike Russow is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Jon Olav Einemo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Jon Olav Einemo has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jon Olav Einemo has a 21cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Russow
Red Corner
VS
Jon Olav Einemo
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1352
Elo
1351
49
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
206 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike RussowL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10
W
KOvs Jon Madsen · Mar 11
L
KOvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 12
L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jan 13
latest
Jon Olav Einemo
oldest →
L
KOvs Dave Herman · Jun 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike RussowMetricJon Olav Einemo
1.55
Strikes / min
2.15
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
59%
Strike defense
52%
4.66
TDs / 15 min
1.73
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1528 vs 1487Strikes16.3 vs 34.0Takedowns3.7 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.67 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -1.0
Mike RussowJon Olav Einemo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Mike Russow(5 fights)Jon Olav Einemo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike RussowTargetJon Olav Einemo

By target zone

16
52% acc · 76%
Head
18
60% acc · 58%
5
83% acc · 24%
Body
9
100% acc · 29%
0
Leg
4
100% acc · 13%

By position

12
46% acc · 57%
Distance
17
71% acc · 55%
0
0% acc
Clinch
12
92% acc · 39%
9
90% acc · 43%
Ground
2
33% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Mike Russow rounds
0
even
0
Jon Olav Einemo rounds
Round 1Mike Russow edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control3:02
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Mike Russow edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control4:22
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mike Russow edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control3:24
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
21 / 37
Sig Strikes
31 / 43
59%
Sig Str %
65.3%
58 / 76
Total Strikes
85 / 98
6 / 10
TDs
0 / 0
60.7%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
10:48
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jon Olav Einemo14 / 1831 / 350 / 00
1Mike Russow11 / 2121 / 312 / 30
2Jon Olav Einemo3 / 820 / 250 / 00
2Mike Russow6 / 824 / 282 / 30
3Jon Olav Einemo14 / 1734 / 380 / 00
3Mike Russow4 / 813 / 172 / 40

Mike Russow

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5

Jon Olav Einemo

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach—
Fights2