Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Martins is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jeremy Larsen has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Lucas Martins has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lucas Martins (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lucas Martins
oldest →W
SUBvs Junior Hernandez · Sep 13W
KOvs Alex White · Jul 14L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 14L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · May 15W
DECvs Rob Whiteford · Apr 16 Jeremy LarsenL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jun 12L
KOvs Andre Fili · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lucas MartinsMetricJeremy Larsen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.27evenly matched on net striking-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lucas MartinsJeremy Larsen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lucas Martins(7 fights)Jeremy Larsen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.9|Blue -137.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -232.0|Blue +232.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lucas MartinsTargetJeremy Larsen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremy Larsen edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:12Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Jeremy Larsen edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 3Lucas Martins edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
