Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carla Esparza has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Tatiana SuarezW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25W
SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricTatiana Suarez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.68Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carla EsparzaTatiana Suarez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Tatiana Suarez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -30.4|Blue +30.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carla EsparzaTargetTatiana Suarez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:37Control
Round 2Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:04
15Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
4:11Control
Round 3Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
