Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Jorgensen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20 Scott JorgensenL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 13W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricScott Jorgensen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jussier FormigaScott Jorgensen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +29.1|Blue -29.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +101.0|Blue -101.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jussier FormigaTargetScott Jorgensen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:45
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
