Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17 Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dong Hyun KimMetricPaulo Thiago
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dong Hyun KimPaulo Thiago
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Paulo Thiago(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.2|Blue -137.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dong Hyun KimTargetPaulo Thiago
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control4:45
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control3:55
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control3:31
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
