Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Gonzaga threatens submissions; Ednaldo Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Gabriel Gonzaga has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16 Ednaldo Oliveira
oldest →L
vs Francimar Barroso · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel GonzagaMetricEdnaldo Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gabriel GonzagaEdnaldo Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)Ednaldo Oliveira(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.1|Blue -138.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gabriel GonzagaTargetEdnaldo Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gabriel Gonzaga edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control1:19
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
