Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21 Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricTravis Browne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.23Δ 2.61 — meaningful gap-1.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alistair OvereemTravis Browne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Travis Browne(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.2|Blue -132.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alistair OvereemTargetTravis Browne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control2:15
Knockdowns2
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
