Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ion Cutelaba has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ion Cutelaba
oldest →W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ion CutelabaMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ion CutelabaKhalil Rountree Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.9|Blue +4.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ion CutelabaTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns4
Control1:20
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
