Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amir Sadollah has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Hardy
oldest →L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Mar 10L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Oct 10L
vs Anthony Johnson · Mar 11L
SUBvs Chris Lytle · Aug 11W
KOvs Duane Ludwig · May 12 Amir Sadollah
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Nov 10W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Mar 11L
vs Duane Ludwig · Aug 11L
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HardyMetricAmir Sadollah
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.98Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan HardyAmir Sadollah
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hardy(6 fights)Amir Sadollah(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.5|Blue -136.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -11.0|Blue +11.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dan HardyTargetAmir Sadollah
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amir Sadollah edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:02
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Dan Hardy edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control2:14
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Dan Hardy edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control3:35
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
