Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adrian Yanez is a KO finisher (86% of wins). Randy Costa has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Randy Costa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Adrian Yanez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Adrian Yanez has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adrian Yanez
oldest →L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26 Randy CostaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brandon Davis · Apr 19W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adrian YanezMetricRandy Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Adrian YanezRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +85.3|Blue -85.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Adrian YanezTargetRandy Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Randy Costa edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
57Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Adrian Yanez edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
