Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Jun 26 Lone'er Kavanagh
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Mar 25W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 26L
SUBvs Brandon Royval · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricLone'er Kavanagh
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.75evenly matched on net striking+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles JohnsonLone'er Kavanagh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Lone'er Kavanagh(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles JohnsonTargetLone'er Kavanagh
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lone'er Kavanagh edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:10
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Charles Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
0Knockdowns
