Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Solecki threatens submissions; Carl Deaton has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Carl Deaton has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carl Deaton has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SoleckiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25 Carl Deaton
oldest →L
vs Alexander Munoz · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SoleckiMetricCarl Deaton
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe SoleckiCarl Deaton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Solecki(9 fights)Carl Deaton(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +23.5|Blue -23.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe SoleckiTargetCarl Deaton
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Solecki edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control4:26
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joe Solecki edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control4:25
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
