Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean O'Malley has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aljamain SterlingW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25W
DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26 Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aljamain SterlingMetricSean O'Malley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.11evenly matched on net striking+2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aljamain SterlingSean O'Malley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Sean O'Malley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.7|Blue +8.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -196.0|Blue +196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aljamain SterlingTargetSean O'Malley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Aljamain Sterling rounds
Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:21
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
1Knockdowns
