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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Pat Sabatini won · Decision R3

Elo1546

Elo1506

Pat SabatinivsWilliam GomisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Pat Sabatini won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPat Sabatini: WrestlervsWilliam Gomis: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(53.3%)

Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
William Gomis has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Pat Sabatini

Red Corner

William Gomis

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1546

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pat SabatiniW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23

KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24

vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25

vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25

latest

William Gomis

oldest →

vs Francis Marshall · Apr 23

KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23

vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24

vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25

vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pat SabatiniMetricWilliam Gomis

1.69

Strikes / min

3.20

1.16

Strikes absorbed / min

2.60

54%

Strike defense

61%

4.27

TDs / 15 min

0.73

50%

Takedown defense

77%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pat Sabatini(10 fights)William Gomis(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +40.5|Blue -40.5

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Pat Sabatini

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7