Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Prazeres has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21 Mads Burnell
oldest →W
vs Mike Santiago · Jan 18L
SUBvs Arnold Allen · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PrazeresMetricMads Burnell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michel PrazeresMads Burnell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Prazeres(10 fights)Mads Burnell(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -87.9|Blue +87.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michel PrazeresTargetMads Burnell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michel Prazeres edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control4:13
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 2Michel Prazeres edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:50
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Michel Prazeres edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:46
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
