Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Walt Harris has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Jun 18W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricWalt Harris
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.6|Blue -93.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetWalt Harris
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Walt Harris edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
