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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Alexia Thainara won · U-DEC R3

Elo1489

Elo1544

Loma LookboonmeevsAlexia ThainaraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Saturday, September 27, 2025Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Alexia Thainara won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLoma Lookboonmee: Well-roundedvsAlexia Thainara: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alexia Thainara wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Alexia Thainara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexia Thainara at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexia Thainara has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Alexia Thainara has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Loma Lookboonmee

Red Corner

Alexia Thainara

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1489

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'4"

154.94 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Loma Lookboonmee

oldest →

vs Denise Gomes · Sep 22

SUBvs Elise Reed · Feb 23

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 24

vs Istela Nunes · Apr 25

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · May 26

latest

Alexia ThainaraW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Molly McCann · Mar 25

vs Bruna Brasil · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Loma LookboonmeeMetricAlexia Thainara

3.67

Strikes / min

4.62

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

53%

Strike defense

59%

1.81

TDs / 15 min

4.54

68%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.15Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Loma LookboonmeeAlexia Thainara

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Loma Lookboonmee(10 fights)Alexia Thainara(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -55.5|Blue +55.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Loma LookboonmeeTargetAlexia Thainara

By target zone

38% acc · 47%

Head

37% acc · 66%

63% acc · 40%

Body

54% acc · 16%

80% acc · 13%

Leg

50% acc · 18%

By position

49% acc · 83%

Distance

33% acc · 52%

50% acc · 17%

Clinch

50% acc · 20%

Ground

63% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Loma Lookboonmee rounds

even

Alexia Thainara rounds

Round 1Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 2Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:46Control

Round 3Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:11

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 61

Sig Strikes

44 / 107

48.7%

Sig Str %

39%

67 / 102

Total Strikes

110 / 202

0 / 1

TDs

5 / 11

TD %

47%

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

10:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alexia Thainara	24 / 48	35 / 64	2 / 4	1
1	Loma Lookboonmee	15 / 21	28 / 36	0 / 1	0
2	Alexia Thainara	12 / 36	44 / 75	2 / 3	0
2	Loma Lookboonmee	9 / 20	24 / 36	0 / 0	0
3	Alexia Thainara	8 / 23	31 / 63	1 / 4	0
3	Loma Lookboonmee	6 / 20	15 / 30	0 / 0	0

Loma Lookboonmee

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights11

Alexia Thainara

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3