Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Brown
oldest →W
vs Daniel Pineda · May 12L
KOvs Steven Siler · Aug 13 Diego Nunes
oldest →L
vs Kenny Florian · Jun 11W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Dec 11L
vs Dennis Siver · Apr 12W
vs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike BrownMetricDiego Nunes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike BrownDiego Nunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Brown(5 fights)Diego Nunes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike BrownTargetDiego Nunes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Brown edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns2
Control2:24
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Diego Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:01
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:28
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
