Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Cormier has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Patrick Cummins has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20 Patrick CumminsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 17W
vs Gian Villante · Jul 17L
vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricPatrick Cummins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.33evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel CormierPatrick Cummins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Patrick Cummins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.9|Blue -14.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.0|Blue +48.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel CormierTargetPatrick Cummins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
