Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Nguyen has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ben Nguyen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben NguyenL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 15L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Jul 16W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Jun 17L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Feb 18 Geane Herrera
oldest →W
KOvs Joby Sanchez · Dec 15L
vs Ali Bagautinov · Jun 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben NguyenMetricGeane Herrera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50Δ 4.06 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben NguyenGeane Herrera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Nguyen(7 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.5|Blue -10.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -25.0|Blue +25.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben NguyenTargetGeane Herrera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ben Nguyen edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Ben Nguyen edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Ben Nguyen edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
