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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Yizha won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1484
Westin Wilson

YizhavsWestin WilsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Saturday, August 23, 2025Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Yizha won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:37

Style matchupYizha: WrestlervsWestin Wilson: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Yizha wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Yizha wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yizha at -950 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yizha enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Yizha is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Westin Wilson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Yizha has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Yizha has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Westin Wilson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yizha
Red Corner
VS
Westin Wilson
Blue Corner
-950
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+640
(14%)
1491
Elo
1484
29
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

YizhaL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs JeongYeong Lee · Feb 23
L
vs Gabriel Santos · Sep 24
L
vs Kaan Ofli · Jan 26
latest
Westin Wilson
oldest →
L
KOvs Joanderson Brito · Jul 23
L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jan 24
W
SUBvs Jeka Saragih · Jun 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

YizhaMetricWestin Wilson
3.25
Strikes / min
1.57
2.88
Strikes absorbed / min
6.71
49%
Strike defense
30%
3.42
TDs / 15 min
1.57
64%
Takedown defense
33%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
7.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37Δ 5.51 — meaningful gap-5.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1467 vs 1487Strikes3.3 vs 1.6Takedowns3.4 vs 1.6Sub Atts0.90 vs 7.90Form-1.0 vs -0.0
YizhaWestin Wilson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Yizha(4 fights)Westin Wilson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.2|Blue -7.2
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

YizhaTargetWestin Wilson

By target zone

10
67% acc · 77%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
3
100% acc · 23%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

9
75% acc · 69%
Distance
0
0% acc
2
67% acc · 15%
Clinch
0
2
67% acc · 15%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Yizha rounds
0
even
0
Westin Wilson rounds
Round 1Yizha edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns2
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
13 / 18
Sig Strikes
0 / 2
72%
Sig Str %
0%
17 / 23
Total Strikes
0 / 2
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Westin Wilson0 / 20 / 20 / 00
1Yizha13 / 1817 / 230 / 00

Yizha

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4

Westin Wilson

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4