Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Grundy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Grundy is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Nad Narimani has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Nad Narimani has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike GrundyL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jul 20L
vs Lando Vannata · May 21L
SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 22 Nad Narimani
oldest →W
vs Anderson Dos Santos · Nov 18L
vs Grant Dawson · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike GrundyMetricNad Narimani
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.36Δ 2.69 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike GrundyNad Narimani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Grundy(4 fights)Nad Narimani(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +33.3|Blue -33.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.4|Blue -48.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike GrundyTargetNad Narimani
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Grundy edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:42
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mike Grundy edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
