Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steven Peterson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
- Chase Hooper has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase Hooper
oldest →W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26W
SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26 Steven PetersonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricSteven Peterson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chase HooperSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +69.3|Blue -69.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -448.0|Blue +448.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chase HooperTargetSteven Peterson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steven Peterson edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:15
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Steven Peterson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:41
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:30Control
Round 3Steven Peterson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:59
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
