Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Magalhaes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Josh Samman has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Caio Magalhaes has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Caio Magalhaes has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Josh Samman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh SammanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kevin Casey · Apr 13W
KOvs Eddie Gordon · Dec 14L
SUBvs Tamdan McCrory · Dec 15L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jul 16 Caio Magalhaes
oldest →W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh SammanMetricCaio Magalhaes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh SammanCaio Magalhaes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Samman(5 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh SammanTargetCaio Magalhaes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Samman edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:11
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
