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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Cyrille Diabate won · M-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1352

Cyrille DiabatevsTom DeBlassUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · Saturday, April 14, 2012Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Cyrille Diabate won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cyrille Diabate wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Cyrille Diabate wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cyrille Diabate at +177 American odds

+$177 profit

$277 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cyrille Diabate has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cyrille Diabate has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
Cyrille Diabate has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cyrille Diabate

Red Corner

Tom DeBlass

Blue Corner

+177

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-192

(66%)

1353

Elo

1352

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'0"

205.74 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cyrille DiabateL2 streak

oldest →

vs Steve Cantwell · Mar 11

SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11

SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13

SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14

latest

Tom DeBlass

oldest →

vs Riki Fukuda · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cyrille DiabateMetricTom DeBlass

4.06

Strikes / min

1.50

1.78

Strikes absorbed / min

4.43

60%

Strike defense

37%

1.17

TDs / 15 min

1.00

53%

Takedown defense

28%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.28Δ 5.21 — meaningful gap-2.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cyrille DiabateTom DeBlass

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Tom DeBlass(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cyrille DiabateTargetTom DeBlass

By target zone

94% acc · 65%

Head

20% acc · 100%

100% acc · 31%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Leg

By position

92% acc · 25%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

Clinch

97% acc · 75%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cyrille Diabate rounds

even

Tom DeBlass rounds

Round 1Tom DeBlass edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:31Control

Round 2Cyrille Diabate edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns2

Control2:29

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:17Control

Round 3Cyrille Diabate edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control2:58

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 50

Sig Strikes

1 / 6

97.3%

Sig Str %

16.5%

90 / 94

Total Strikes

17 / 24

2 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:27

Ctrl Time

7:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tom DeBlass	1 / 3	15 / 18	1 / 2	0
1	Cyrille Diabate	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
2	Tom DeBlass	0 / 0	2 / 3	1 / 1	1
2	Cyrille Diabate	23 / 23	42 / 43	2 / 2	0
3	Tom DeBlass	0 / 3	0 / 3	0 / 1	0
3	Cyrille Diabate	24 / 26	47 / 50	0 / 0	0

Cyrille Diabate

StanceSouthpaw

Height78.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8

Tom DeBlass

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach—

Fights2