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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ilir Latifi won · SUB R1

Elo1353

Elo1497

Cyrille DiabatevsIlir LatifiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · Saturday, March 8, 2014London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:02

Style matchupCyrille Diabate: Elusive strikervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Cyrille Diabate wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cyrille Diabate at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ilir Latifi has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
Cyrille Diabate has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cyrille Diabate

Red Corner

Ilir Latifi

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1353

Elo

1497

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

5'10"

205.74 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cyrille Diabate

oldest →

vs Steve Cantwell · Mar 11

SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11

vs Tom DeBlass · Apr 12

SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13

latest

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cyrille DiabateMetricIlir Latifi

4.06

Strikes / min

2.05

1.78

Strikes absorbed / min

2.93

60%

Strike defense

56%

1.17

TDs / 15 min

2.11

53%

Takedown defense

100%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.28Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cyrille DiabateIlir Latifi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -144.2|Blue +144.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cyrille DiabateTargetIlir Latifi

By target zone

Head

Body

Leg

By position

Distance

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cyrille Diabate rounds

even

Ilir Latifi rounds

Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:50Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 0

Sig Strikes

0 / 0

—

Sig Str %

—

1 / 1

Total Strikes

1 / 5

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ilir Latifi	0 / 0	1 / 5	1 / 1	2
1	Cyrille Diabate	0 / 0	1 / 1	0 / 0	0

Cyrille Diabate

StanceSouthpaw

Height78.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16