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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Perosh won · SUB R2

Elo1353

Elo1356

Cyrille DiabatevsAnthony PeroshUFC Prediction Result

UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · Saturday, November 5, 2011Birmingham, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Anthony Perosh won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:09

Style matchupCyrille Diabate: Elusive strikervsAnthony Perosh: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Cyrille Diabate wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Anthony Perosh wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cyrille Diabate at -355 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Perosh threatens submissions; Cyrille Diabate has lost 75% of fights by sub.
Cyrille Diabate has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
Cyrille Diabate has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cyrille Diabate

Red Corner

Anthony Perosh

Blue Corner

-355

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1353

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'3"

205.74 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cyrille DiabateL2 streak

oldest →

vs Steve Cantwell · Mar 11

vs Tom DeBlass · Apr 12

SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13

SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14

latest

Anthony PeroshL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Vinny Magalhaes · Aug 13

vs Ryan Bader · Dec 13

SUBvs Guto Inocente · Nov 14

KOvs Sean O'Connell · May 15

KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cyrille DiabateMetricAnthony Perosh

4.06

Strikes / min

2.27

1.78

Strikes absorbed / min

3.77

60%

Strike defense

53%

1.17

TDs / 15 min

2.03

53%

Takedown defense

33%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.28Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap-1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cyrille DiabateAnthony Perosh

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Anthony Perosh(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.7|Blue +2.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -5.0|Blue +5.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cyrille DiabateTargetAnthony Perosh

By target zone

33% acc · 53%

Head

45% acc · 100%

89% acc · 47%

Body

0% acc

Leg

By position

42% acc · 76%

Distance

15% acc · 12%

Clinch

67% acc · 24%

Ground

60% acc · 88%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cyrille Diabate rounds

even

Anthony Perosh rounds

Round 1Cyrille Diabate edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:15

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 2Anthony Perosh edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:28Control

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 37

Sig Strikes

17 / 38

44%

Sig Str %

43.5%

27 / 49

Total Strikes

20 / 43

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 6

—

TD %

37.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

4:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Perosh	4 / 18	4 / 19	1 / 4	0
1	Cyrille Diabate	14 / 30	17 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Anthony Perosh	13 / 20	16 / 24	1 / 2	3
2	Cyrille Diabate	3 / 7	10 / 15	0 / 0	0

Cyrille Diabate

StanceSouthpaw

Height78.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8

Anthony Perosh

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9