Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Gustafsson has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cyrille DiabateL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11W
SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13L
SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14 Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cyrille DiabateMetricAlexander Gustafsson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.28Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cyrille DiabateAlexander Gustafsson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -77.5|Blue +77.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cyrille DiabateTargetAlexander Gustafsson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Alexander Gustafsson rounds
Round 1Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:51Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
