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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Loopy Godinez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1455

Elo1507

Cynthia CalvillovsLoopy GodinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Saturday, April 8, 2023Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Loopy Godinez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCynthia Calvillo: Pressure fightervsLoopy Godinez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Loopy Godinez wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Loopy Godinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loopy Godinez at -255 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Cynthia Calvillo

Red Corner

Loopy Godinez

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1455

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'2"

162.56 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cynthia CalvilloL4 streak

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jun 20

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20

KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21

KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21

vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22

latest

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cynthia CalvilloMetricLoopy Godinez

4.41

Strikes / min

4.43

4.12

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

64%

Strike defense

62%

1.80

TDs / 15 min

2.99

77%

Takedown defense

76%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cynthia CalvilloLoopy Godinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -52.7|Blue +52.7

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cynthia CalvilloTargetLoopy Godinez

By target zone

23% acc · 56%

Head

45% acc · 75%

47% acc · 29%

Body

63% acc · 17%

80% acc · 15%

Leg

70% acc · 8%

By position

104

31% acc · 100%

Distance

49% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cynthia Calvillo rounds

even

Loopy Godinez rounds

Round 1Cynthia Calvillo edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control1:14

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cynthia Calvillo edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Cynthia Calvillo edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns0

Control0:01

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

104 / 333

Sig Strikes

87 / 180

29.7%

Sig Str %

48.3%

107 / 338

Total Strikes

93 / 188

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:15

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Loopy Godinez	19 / 45	24 / 52	0 / 0
1	Cynthia Calvillo	18 / 83	21 / 87	1 / 1
2	Loopy Godinez	32 / 54	33 / 55	0 / 1
2	Cynthia Calvillo	38 / 118	38 / 118	0 / 1
3	Loopy Godinez	36 / 81	36 / 81	0 / 1
3	Cynthia Calvillo	48 / 132	48 / 133	0 / 0

Cynthia Calvillo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14