Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Josh Hokit won · Decision R3
Elo1495
Curtis Blaydes
Elo1596
Josh Hokit

Curtis BlaydesvsJosh HokitUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Josh Hokit won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCurtis Blaydes: WrestlervsJosh Hokit: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Curtis Blaydes wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Josh Hokit wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Josh Hokit enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Josh Hokit is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Josh Hokit has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Curtis Blaydes has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Curtis Blaydes
Red Corner
VS
Josh Hokit
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1495
Elo
1596
35
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Curtis Blaydes
oldest →
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23
W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24
L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24
W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25
latest
Josh HokitW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Max Gimenis · Nov 25
W
KOvs Denzel Freeman · Jan 26
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Curtis BlaydesMetricJosh Hokit
4.18
Strikes / min
9.25
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
6.81
53%
Strike defense
44%
5.12
TDs / 15 min
3.89
35%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+2.44
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801513154515781610← oldermost recent →
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Josh Hokit(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -100.2|Blue +100.2
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Curtis Blaydes

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19

Josh Hokit

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2