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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Curtis Blaydes won · U-DEC R5

Elo1495

Elo1535

Curtis BlaydesvsAlexander VolkovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Curtis Blaydes won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupCurtis Blaydes: WrestlervsAlexander Volkov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Curtis Blaydes wins(68.9%)

Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Curtis Blaydes at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexander Volkov has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Curtis Blaydes

Red Corner

Alexander Volkov

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1495

Elo

1535

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'7"

203.2 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Curtis Blaydes

oldest →

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24

KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24

vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25

DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26

latest

Alexander VolkovW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Curtis BlaydesMetricAlexander Volkov

4.18

Strikes / min

4.84

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

53%

Strike defense

54%

5.12

TDs / 15 min

0.54

35%

Takedown defense

68%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.94

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Curtis BlaydesAlexander Volkov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -40.0|Blue +40.0

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -476.0|Blue +476.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Curtis BlaydesTargetAlexander Volkov

By target zone

57% acc · 49%

Head

35% acc · 71%

78% acc · 10%

Body

50% acc · 19%

93% acc · 41%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

58% acc · 43%

Distance

41% acc · 100%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

0% acc

80% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Curtis Blaydes rounds

even

Alexander Volkov rounds

Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns5

Control4:52

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns3

Control4:02

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control3:53

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 4Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns3

Control3:39

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 5Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:26

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 99

Sig Strikes

31 / 77

65.2%

Sig Str %

52%

116 / 163

Total Strikes

127 / 177

14 / 25

TDs

1 / 2

54.6%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

19:52

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alexander Volkov	1 / 1	2 / 2	0 / 0
1	Curtis Blaydes	27 / 32	37 / 46	5 / 6
2	Alexander Volkov	7 / 15	15 / 23	0 / 0
2	Curtis Blaydes	17 / 24	27 / 39	3 / 4
3	Alexander Volkov	5 / 13	6 / 14	0 / 0
3	Curtis Blaydes	13 / 22	20 / 32	1 / 4
4	Curtis Blaydes	5 / 10	15 / 23	3 / 6
4	Alexander Volkov	12 / 23	37 / 48	1 / 2
5	Alexander Volkov	6 / 25	67 / 90	0 / 0
5	Curtis Blaydes	7 / 11	17 / 23	2 / 5

Curtis Blaydes

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights19

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18