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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Cung Le won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1360

Cung LevsPatrick CoteUFC Prediction Result

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · Saturday, July 7, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cung Le won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Patrick Cote wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Cung Le wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Patrick Cote at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cung Le has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cung Le has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cung Le (53.5%).
Patrick Cote has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cung Le

Red Corner

Patrick Cote

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1360

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cung Le

oldest →

KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Nov 11

KOvs Rich Franklin · Nov 12

KOvs Michael Bisping · Aug 14

latest

Patrick CoteL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joe Riggs · Apr 15

KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15

KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16

vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cung LeMetricPatrick Cote

4.36

Strikes / min

2.81

2.98

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

66%

Strike defense

48%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

0.68

88%

Takedown defense

43%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.38Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cung LePatrick Cote

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cung Le(4 fights)Patrick Cote(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.4|Blue -130.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -392.0|Blue +392.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cung LeTargetPatrick Cote

By target zone

35% acc · 49%

Head

22% acc · 37%

81% acc · 40%

Body

71% acc · 33%

67% acc · 11%

Leg

63% acc · 29%

By position

45% acc · 84%

Distance

36% acc · 84%

90% acc · 16%

Clinch

57% acc · 16%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cung Le rounds

even

Patrick Cote rounds

Round 1Cung Le edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:06

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Patrick Cote edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:17

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Cung Le edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control0:50

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 113

Sig Strikes

51 / 133

48.3%

Sig Str %

37%

58 / 116

Total Strikes

79 / 162

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:13

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Patrick Cote	13 / 41	13 / 41	0 / 1
1	Cung Le	18 / 37	18 / 37	0 / 0
2	Patrick Cote	26 / 61	32 / 67	0 / 0
2	Cung Le	21 / 44	23 / 46	0 / 0
3	Patrick Cote	12 / 31	34 / 54	0 / 1
3	Cung Le	16 / 32	17 / 33	2 / 2

Cung Le

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Patrick Cote

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12