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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1516
Cub Swanson
Elo1469
Nate Landwehr

Cub SwansonvsNate LandwehrUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Cub Swanson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:06

Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsNate Landwehr: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(61.8%)

Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cub Swanson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nate Landwehr has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Nate Landwehr threatens submissions; Cub Swanson has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Nate Landwehr
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1516
Elo
1469
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cub Swanson
oldest →
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22
W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23
L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24
latest
Nate LandwehrL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23
L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 23
W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24
L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24
L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cub SwansonMetricNate Landwehr
4.84
Strikes / min
5.55
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
59%
Strike defense
51%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
0.73
63%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.41
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Nate Landwehr(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +46.7|Blue -46.7
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Cub Swanson

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25

Nate Landwehr

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10