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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Cub Swanson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1516

Elo1355

Cub SwansonvsGeorge RoopUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · Saturday, January 28, 2012Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Cub Swanson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:22

Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsGeorge Roop: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: George Roop wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Roop at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cub Swanson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). George Roop has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Cub Swanson

Red Corner

George Roop

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1516

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cub SwansonW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23

vs Andre Fili · Jun 24

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26

latest

George RoopL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13

KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13

vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14

KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cub SwansonMetricGeorge Roop

4.84

Strikes / min

3.43

3.99

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

59%

Strike defense

60%

1.00

TDs / 15 min

1.05

63%

Takedown defense

59%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cub SwansonGeorge Roop

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cub Swanson(10 fights)George Roop(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +160.5|Blue -160.5

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cub SwansonTargetGeorge Roop

By target zone

53% acc · 56%

Head

24% acc · 43%

90% acc · 21%

Body

52% acc · 34%

91% acc · 23%

Leg

62% acc · 23%

By position

58% acc · 65%

Distance

32% acc · 80%

100% acc · 12%

Clinch

60% acc · 17%

77% acc · 23%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cub Swanson rounds

even

George Roop rounds

Round 1Cub Swanson edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns2

Control0:59

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Cub Swanson edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 66

Sig Strikes

35 / 99

66%

Sig Str %

32.5%

50 / 74

Total Strikes

44 / 108

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:08

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	George Roop	26 / 64	33 / 71	0 / 1
1	Cub Swanson	23 / 39	27 / 44	2 / 2
2	George Roop	9 / 35	11 / 37	0 / 0
2	Cub Swanson	20 / 27	23 / 30	0 / 0

Cub Swanson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights25

George Roop

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10