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Women's Featherweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Cris Cyborg won · Decision R5
Elo1492
Cris Cyborg
Elo1497
Holly Holm

Cris CyborgvsHolly HolmUFC Prediction Result

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · Saturday, December 30, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cris Cyborg won

Decision · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cris Cyborg wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Cris Cyborg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cris Cyborg at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Cris Cyborg
Red Corner
VS
Holly Holm
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1492
Elo
1497
32
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cris Cyborg
oldest →
W
KOvs Lina Lansberg · Sep 16
W
KOvs Tonya Evinger · Jul 17
W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 18
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 18
W
DECvs Felicia Spencer · Jul 19
latest
Holly Holm
oldest →
W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20
W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22
W
vs Yana Santos · Mar 23
L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cris CyborgMetricHolly Holm
—
Strikes / min
3.13
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.92
—
Strike defense
55%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.87
—
Takedown defense
76%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1546 vs 1519Strikes61.3 vs 51.7Takedowns0.7 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -0.1
Cris CyborgHolly Holm

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Cris Cyborg(7 fights)Holly Holm(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.7|Blue +5.7
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Cris Cyborg

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7

Holly Holm

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15