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Women's Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cris Cyborg won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Cris Cyborg
Elo1494
Felicia Spencer

Cris CyborgvsFelicia SpencerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Saturday, July 27, 2019Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Cris Cyborg won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cris Cyborg wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Cris Cyborg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cris Cyborg at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Cris Cyborg
Red Corner
VS
Felicia Spencer
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
1492
Elo
1494
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cris Cyborg
oldest →
W
KOvs Lina Lansberg · Sep 16
W
KOvs Tonya Evinger · Jul 17
W
DECvs Holly Holm · Dec 17
W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 18
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 18
latest
Felicia Spencer
oldest →
W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · May 19
W
KOvs Zarah Fairn · Feb 20
L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 20
L
vs Norma Dumont · May 21
W
KOvs Leah Letson · Nov 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cris CyborgMetricFelicia Spencer
—
Strikes / min
3.21
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
—
Strike defense
45%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.18
—
Takedown defense
27%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1560 vs 1516Strikes7.3 vs 3.3Takedowns0.7 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.80Form0.1 vs 1.0
Cris CyborgFelicia Spencer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Cris Cyborg(7 fights)Felicia Spencer(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.5|Blue +2.5
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Cris Cyborg

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7

Felicia Spencer

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6