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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1530

Court McGeevsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · Saturday, November 11, 2017Norfolk, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Court McGee at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Sean Strickland

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-290

(74%)

1493

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricSean Strickland

4.50

Strikes / min

5.98

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.53

60%

Strike defense

60%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.66

70%

Takedown defense

68%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -37.7|Blue +37.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +83.0|Blue -83.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetSean Strickland

By target zone

11% acc · 31%

Head

31% acc · 99%

36% acc · 24%

Body

14% acc · 1%

74% acc · 45%

Leg

By position

23% acc · 95%

Distance

28% acc · 83%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

0% acc

Ground

71% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Sean Strickland rounds

Round 1Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:38

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:03

22Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 260

Sig Strikes

78 / 254

25.3%

Sig Str %

31.3%

104 / 309

Total Strikes

109 / 288

0 / 11

TDs

3 / 3

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:41

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean Strickland	25 / 109	25 / 109	1 / 1	0
1	Court McGee	24 / 107	29 / 112	0 / 0	0
2	Sean Strickland	31 / 85	31 / 85	0 / 0	0
2	Court McGee	22 / 107	34 / 119	0 / 6	0
3	Sean Strickland	22 / 60	53 / 94	2 / 2	1
3	Court McGee	16 / 46	41 / 78	0 / 5	0

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25