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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sean Brady won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1521

Court McGeevsSean BradyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · Friday, October 18, 2019Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Sean Brady won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsSean Brady: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Brady at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Brady has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Sean Brady

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1493

Elo

1521

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Sean Brady

oldest →

SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23

vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24

SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25

KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25

DECvs Joaquin Buckley · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricSean Brady

4.50

Strikes / min

4.08

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

2.77

60%

Strike defense

59%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

3.58

70%

Takedown defense

86%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeSean Brady

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Sean Brady(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.9|Blue +28.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -46.4|Blue +46.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetSean Brady

By target zone

30% acc · 66%

Head

51% acc · 71%

41% acc · 11%

Body

62% acc · 7%

92% acc · 22%

Leg

90% acc · 22%

By position

101

36% acc · 94%

Distance

116

57% acc · 97%

67% acc · 6%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Sean Brady rounds

Round 1Sean Brady edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:19

Knockdowns0

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:41

33Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:34Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns0

Control0:24

42Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

107 / 291

Sig Strikes

119 / 210

35%

Sig Str %

56%

128 / 313

Total Strikes

148 / 240

0 / 6

TDs

2 / 3

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:24

Ctrl Time

0:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Brady	44 / 76	55 / 88	0 / 1
1	Court McGee	17 / 79	25 / 88	0 / 2
2	Sean Brady	33 / 56	49 / 72	2 / 2
2	Court McGee	38 / 97	42 / 101	0 / 2
3	Sean Brady	42 / 78	44 / 80	0 / 0
3	Court McGee	52 / 115	61 / 124	0 / 2

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Sean Brady

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11