← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ryan LaFlare won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1491

Court McGeevsRyan LaFlareUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, December 14, 2013Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Ryan LaFlare won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsRyan LaFlare: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ryan LaFlare wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Ryan LaFlare wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan LaFlare at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Ryan LaFlare (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Ryan LaFlare

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1493

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Ryan LaFlare

oldest →

vs Mike Pierce · Dec 15

vs Roan Carneiro · Feb 17

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Jul 17

vs Alex Garcia · Apr 18

KOvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricRyan LaFlare

4.50

Strikes / min

2.89

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

1.86

60%

Strike defense

63%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

2.13

70%

Takedown defense

58%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeRyan LaFlare

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Ryan LaFlare(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +73.0|Blue -73.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetRyan LaFlare

By target zone

22% acc · 57%

Head

26% acc · 59%

45% acc · 24%

Body

48% acc · 34%

63% acc · 19%

Leg

71% acc · 7%

By position

26% acc · 81%

Distance

31% acc · 81%

46% acc · 11%

Clinch

43% acc · 15%

67% acc · 7%

Ground

60% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Ryan LaFlare rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control0:28

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Ryan LaFlare edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:07

30Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control1:52

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 187

Sig Strikes

68 / 206

28.7%

Sig Str %

32%

62 / 199

Total Strikes

71 / 209

4 / 6

TDs

4 / 7

83.3%

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:27

Ctrl Time

0:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ryan LaFlare	21 / 67	21 / 67	2 / 3	0
1	Court McGee	24 / 62	27 / 65	1 / 1	0
2	Ryan LaFlare	30 / 82	32 / 84	2 / 2	0
2	Court McGee	15 / 65	15 / 65	1 / 1	0
3	Ryan LaFlare	17 / 57	18 / 58	0 / 2	1
3	Court McGee	15 / 60	20 / 69	2 / 4	2

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Ryan LaFlare

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10