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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Court McGee won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1511

Court McGeevsRobert WhittakerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · Wednesday, August 28, 2013Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

Official fight result

Court McGee won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsRobert Whittaker: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Robert Whittaker wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Robert Whittaker at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Robert Whittaker

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1493

Elo

1511

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Robert Whittaker

oldest →

vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24

vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricRobert Whittaker

4.50

Strikes / min

4.39

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.36

60%

Strike defense

59%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.73

70%

Takedown defense

82%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeRobert Whittaker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.5|Blue +18.5

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetRobert Whittaker

By target zone

19% acc · 47%

Head

27% acc · 100%

44% acc · 32%

Body

0% acc

66% acc · 22%

Leg

By position

28% acc · 95%

Distance

26% acc · 98%

44% acc · 5%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Robert Whittaker rounds

Round 1Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:11

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control0:23

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

88 / 305

Sig Strikes

48 / 184

28.7%

Sig Str %

25%

99 / 318

Total Strikes

49 / 185

1 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

8.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Robert Whittaker	10 / 52	10 / 52	0 / 0
1	Court McGee	22 / 78	23 / 80	0 / 3
2	Robert Whittaker	16 / 58	17 / 59	0 / 0
2	Court McGee	33 / 101	42 / 111	1 / 4
3	Robert Whittaker	22 / 74	22 / 74	0 / 0
3	Court McGee	33 / 126	34 / 127	0 / 1

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights26