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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Court McGee won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1512

Court McGeevsRamiz BrahimajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Saturday, January 15, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Court McGee won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Court McGee at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Court McGee has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Court McGee has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Ramiz Brahimaj

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1493

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Ramiz Brahimaj

oldest →

vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24

KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24

SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25

SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricRamiz Brahimaj

4.50

Strikes / min

2.29

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.27

60%

Strike defense

47%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

1.99

70%

Takedown defense

44%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeRamiz Brahimaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.1|Blue +19.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +2.8|Blue -2.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetRamiz Brahimaj

By target zone

48% acc · 56%

Head

41% acc · 66%

81% acc · 31%

Body

100% acc · 31%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

57% acc · 85%

Distance

47% acc · 78%

67% acc · 7%

Clinch

78% acc · 22%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Ramiz Brahimaj rounds

Round 1Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns2

Control2:58

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control3:11

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control4:48

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 91

Sig Strikes

32 / 62

71.3%

Sig Str %

58.7%

76 / 113

Total Strikes

35 / 65

5 / 11

TDs

1 / 3

46.7%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

10:57

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ramiz Brahimaj	15 / 33	17 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Court McGee	30 / 51	42 / 63	2 / 4	0
2	Ramiz Brahimaj	14 / 25	15 / 26	1 / 3	0
2	Court McGee	21 / 37	24 / 40	2 / 5	0
3	Ramiz Brahimaj	3 / 4	3 / 4	0 / 0	1
3	Court McGee	3 / 3	10 / 10	1 / 2	1

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9