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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nick Ring won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1353

Court McGeevsNick RingUFC Prediction Result

UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · Saturday, July 21, 2012Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Nick Ring won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Nick Ring wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Court McGee at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nick Ring enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Court McGee has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Nick Ring (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Nick Ring

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1493

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Nick RingL3 streak

oldest →

vs Riki Fukuda · Feb 11

SUBvs James Head · Jun 11

vs Tim Boetsch · Sep 11

vs Chris Camozzi · Mar 13

vs Caio Magalhaes · Dec 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricNick Ring

4.50

Strikes / min

3.52

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.48

60%

Strike defense

62%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

1.36

70%

Takedown defense

52%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeNick Ring

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Nick Ring(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.9|Blue -139.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -160.0|Blue +160.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetNick Ring

By target zone

29% acc · 65%

Head

39% acc · 60%

59% acc · 15%

Body

92% acc · 18%

81% acc · 20%

Leg

75% acc · 22%

By position

106

36% acc · 98%

Distance

49% acc · 97%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Nick Ring rounds

Round 1Nick Ring edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes53

Takedowns0

Control0:09

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

108 / 295

Sig Strikes

68 / 137

35.3%

Sig Str %

48.7%

146 / 350

Total Strikes

71 / 143

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 7

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nick Ring	27 / 51	27 / 51	0 / 2
1	Court McGee	23 / 76	25 / 78	0 / 1
2	Nick Ring	25 / 51	25 / 52	0 / 2
2	Court McGee	32 / 96	33 / 97	0 / 2
3	Nick Ring	16 / 35	19 / 40	0 / 3
3	Court McGee	53 / 123	88 / 175	0 / 1

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Nick Ring

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6