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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Court McGee won · SUB R2
Elo1493
Court McGee
Elo1351
Kris McCray

Court McGeevsKris McCrayUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · Saturday, June 19, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Court McGee won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:41

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsKris McCray: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kris McCray wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kris McCray at +180 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Court McGee has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee
Red Corner
VS
Kris McCray
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
1493
Elo
1351
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee
oldest →
L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22
L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23
L
vs Alex Morono · Apr 24
W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24
L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25
latest
Kris McCrayL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Nov 10
L
vs John Hathaway · Mar 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricKris McCray
4.50
Strikes / min
2.69
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
60%
Strike defense
54%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
2.88
70%
Takedown defense
38%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Court McGee(10 fights)Kris McCray(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +141.6|Blue -141.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetKris McCray

By target zone

16
31% acc · 73%
Head
11
21% acc · 58%
4
67% acc · 18%
Body
7
64% acc · 37%
2
100% acc · 9%
Leg
1
50% acc · 5%

By position

9
24% acc · 41%
Distance
10
20% acc · 53%
6
46% acc · 27%
Clinch
9
56% acc · 47%
7
78% acc · 32%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Court McGee rounds
0
even
0
Kris McCray rounds
Round 1Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns3
Control2:46
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control2:40
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
22 / 59
Sig Strikes
19 / 66
34%
Sig Str %
29%
47 / 84
Total Strikes
49 / 96
5 / 7
TDs
0 / 0
80%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:26
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kris McCray13 / 4636 / 690 / 00
1Court McGee17 / 4132 / 563 / 50
2Kris McCray6 / 2013 / 270 / 00
2Court McGee5 / 1815 / 282 / 21

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24

Kris McCray

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3