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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Court McGee won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1361

Court McGeevsDominique SteeleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Saturday, August 6, 2016Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Court McGee won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsDominique Steele: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(56.7%)

Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Court McGee at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Court McGee has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Dominique Steele

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1493

Elo

1361

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Dominique SteeleL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zak Cummings · Jul 15

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Nov 15

vs Danny Roberts · Apr 16

vs Luke Jumeau · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricDominique Steele

4.50

Strikes / min

2.32

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

60%

Strike defense

50%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

2.95

70%

Takedown defense

76%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeDominique Steele

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Dominique Steele(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +132.0|Blue -132.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +2.6|Blue -2.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetDominique Steele

By target zone

32% acc · 60%

Head

32% acc · 78%

44% acc · 27%

Body

56% acc · 22%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

23% acc · 47%

Distance

29% acc · 65%

89% acc · 53%

Clinch

62% acc · 35%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Dominique Steele rounds

Round 1Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control1:58

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control2:46

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control2:22

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 39

Sig Strikes

23 / 65

38%

Sig Str %

35.3%

55 / 82

Total Strikes

45 / 88

4 / 15

TDs

0 / 1

28.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:06

Ctrl Time

1:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dominique Steele	7 / 20	12 / 26	0 / 1	0
1	Court McGee	4 / 14	9 / 19	2 / 4	1
2	Dominique Steele	7 / 18	15 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Court McGee	7 / 15	27 / 36	1 / 6	0
3	Dominique Steele	9 / 27	18 / 36	0 / 0	0
3	Court McGee	4 / 10	19 / 27	1 / 5	0

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Dominique Steele

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5