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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dhiego Lima won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1403

Court McGeevsDhiego LimaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · Saturday, April 27, 2019Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Dhiego Lima won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsDhiego Lima: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dhiego Lima wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Dhiego Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dhiego Lima at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Dhiego Lima

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1493

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Dhiego LimaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yushin Okami · Apr 18

KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18

vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19

vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21

KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricDhiego Lima

4.50

Strikes / min

3.12

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.88

60%

Strike defense

58%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

1.26

70%

Takedown defense

73%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeDhiego Lima

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Dhiego Lima(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +90.0|Blue -90.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetDhiego Lima

By target zone

17% acc · 43%

Head

35% acc · 72%

44% acc · 23%

Body

73% acc · 25%

79% acc · 34%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

27% acc · 92%

Distance

40% acc · 95%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

75% acc · 5%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Dhiego Lima rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:37

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:24

Knockdowns1

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 228

Sig Strikes

65 / 159

28%

Sig Str %

41%

69 / 232

Total Strikes

67 / 161

0 / 8

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:01

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dhiego Lima	18 / 39	20 / 41	0 / 1
1	Court McGee	16 / 58	18 / 60	0 / 4
2	Dhiego Lima	22 / 58	22 / 58	0 / 2
2	Court McGee	23 / 82	23 / 82	0 / 1
3	Dhiego Lima	25 / 62	25 / 62	0 / 0
3	Court McGee	26 / 88	28 / 90	0 / 3

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11