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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Court McGee won · U-DEC

Elo1493

Elo1431

Court McGeevsClaudio SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · Saturday, May 22, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Court McGee won

U-DEC

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsClaudio Silva: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Claudio Silva wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Silva at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Court McGee has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Court McGee has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Silva (53.5%).
Court McGee has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Claudio Silva

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1493

Elo

1431

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Claudio SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nordine Taleb · May 18

SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19

SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19

vs James Krause · Oct 20

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricClaudio Silva

4.50

Strikes / min

2.48

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

60%

Strike defense

46%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

2.85

70%

Takedown defense

44%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeClaudio Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Claudio Silva(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +61.6|Blue -61.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetClaudio Silva

By target zone

42% acc · 59%

Head

22% acc · 38%

64% acc · 24%

Body

60% acc · 43%

86% acc · 16%

Leg

80% acc · 19%

By position

40% acc · 62%

Distance

37% acc · 90%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

50% acc · 10%

92% acc · 32%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Claudio Silva rounds

Round 1Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:51

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control3:35

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control3:37

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 74

Sig Strikes

21 / 56

51.3%

Sig Str %

36.3%

110 / 157

Total Strikes

81 / 126

3 / 5

TDs

1 / 10

55.3%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

8:03

Ctrl Time

1:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Claudio Silva	6 / 24	13 / 33	0 / 5	0
1	Court McGee	10 / 30	29 / 50	1 / 1	0
2	Claudio Silva	3 / 11	15 / 25	1 / 3	0
2	Court McGee	16 / 25	36 / 48	0 / 1	1
3	Claudio Silva	12 / 21	53 / 68	0 / 2	0
3	Court McGee	11 / 19	45 / 59	2 / 3	0

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Claudio Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8