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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ben Saunders won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1379

Court McGeevsBen SaundersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · Sunday, January 15, 2017Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Ben Saunders won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsBen Saunders: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Ben Saunders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Court McGee at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ben Saunders enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Ben Saunders

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1493

Elo

1379

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

vs Alex Morono · Apr 24

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Ben SaundersL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18

SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18

KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18

KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19

KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricBen Saunders

4.50

Strikes / min

3.23

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

60%

Strike defense

51%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.20

70%

Takedown defense

66%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeBen Saunders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +113.8|Blue -113.8

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -202.0|Blue +202.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetBen Saunders

By target zone

21% acc · 46%

Head

23% acc · 45%

32% acc · 15%

Body

66% acc · 51%

81% acc · 39%

Leg

50% acc · 4%

By position

30% acc · 81%

Distance

35% acc · 88%

38% acc · 9%

Clinch

40% acc · 12%

50% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Ben Saunders rounds

Round 1Ben Saunders edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:01

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:52

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control2:58

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 172

Sig Strikes

49 / 139

32%

Sig Str %

34.7%

77 / 197

Total Strikes

67 / 165

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:51

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ben Saunders	22 / 52	22 / 52	0 / 0
1	Court McGee	19 / 60	21 / 63	0 / 0
2	Ben Saunders	17 / 57	24 / 71	0 / 0
2	Court McGee	16 / 66	23 / 73	0 / 1
3	Ben Saunders	10 / 30	21 / 42	0 / 0
3	Court McGee	19 / 46	33 / 61	1 / 2

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Ben Saunders

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14